2026 · week 12.
Missouri State at Jacksonville State
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · AmFirst Stadium · Picks use the ratings from Oct 31.
Jacksonville State 70%
When Missouri State has the ball
| Category | Missouri StateOffense | Jacksonville StateDefense | 1A avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pace | |||
| Plays per game | 53.2#108 | 57.4#63 | 57.7 |
| Style | |||
| Pass rate | 49.8%#74 | 43.2%#120 | 49.1% |
| Standard downs | 40.5%#93 | 36.4%#119 | 42.3% |
| Passing downs | 70.8%#39 | 60.5%#106 | 64.9% |
| Efficiency | |||
| Success rate | 41.3%#102 | 43.9%#103 | 44.7% |
| Explosive play rate | 13.1%#109 | 13.6%#70 | 15.7% |
| Yards per play | 6.33#65 | 5.42#57 | 6.25 |
| Third down | 30.2%#130 | 48.4%#128 | 42.3% |
| Stuff rate | 10.3%#7 | 15.3%#104 | 16.4% |
| Scoring | |||
| Finish | 4.50#14 | 2.88#32 | 3.60 |
| Disruption | |||
| Turnover rate | 1.4%#65 | 1.4%#85 | 1.6% |
| Havoc rate | 5.2%#107 | 4.2%#86 | 4.0% |
When Jacksonville State has the ball
| Category | Jacksonville StateOffense | Missouri StateDefense | 1A avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pace | |||
| Plays per game | 54.4#99 | 63.5#18 | 57.7 |
| Style | |||
| Pass rate | 44.5%#106 | 45.3%#114 | 49.1% |
| Standard downs | 40.9%#91 | 36.7%#117 | 42.3% |
| Passing downs | 55.1%#117 | 66.2%#66 | 64.9% |
| Efficiency | |||
| Success rate | 48.9%#31 | 50.0%#135 | 44.7% |
| Explosive play rate | 16.2%#63 | 17.7%#127 | 15.7% |
| Yards per play | 6.91#30 | 6.22#106 | 6.25 |
| Third down | 48.1%#30 | 45.5%#118 | 42.3% |
| Stuff rate | 17.2%#83 | 15.1%#106 | 16.4% |
| Scoring | |||
| Finish | 3.50#80 | 3.75#101 | 3.60 |
| Disruption | |||
| Turnover rate | 2.6%#126 | 3.1%#9 | 1.6% |
| Havoc rate | 3.7%#61 | 5.5%#35 | 4.0% |
Stats through week 9. The # is a rank, 1 best, not a percentile. Teams without a number are left out. Rates need 25 plays. Standard downs are first down, second and 7 or fewer, and third or fourth and 4 or fewer.