2026 · week 13.
Troy at Arkansas State
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · Centennial Bank Stadium · Picks use the ratings from Oct 31.
Arkansas State 56%
When Troy has the ball
| Category | TroyOffense | Arkansas StateDefense | 1A avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pace | |||
| Plays per game | 67.2#9 | 57.6#62 | 57.7 |
| Style | |||
| Pass rate | 50.2%#70 | 41.7%#132 | 49.1% |
| Standard downs | 41.2%#87 | 36.0%#121 | 42.3% |
| Passing downs | 69.0%#53 | 58.1%#118 | 64.9% |
| Efficiency | |||
| Success rate | 40.9%#106 | 49.0%#132 | 44.7% |
| Explosive play rate | 13.0%#111 | 18.8%#134 | 15.7% |
| Yards per play | 5.93#85 | 6.91#127 | 6.25 |
| Third down | 36.4%#106 | 50.9%#132 | 42.3% |
| Stuff rate | 22.4%#124 | 11.3%#132 | 16.4% |
| Scoring | |||
| Finish | 2.68#126 | 4.09#123 | 3.60 |
| Disruption | |||
| Turnover rate | 1.5%#70 | 2.8%#19 | 1.6% |
| Havoc rate | 3.3%#54 | 3.8%#95 | 4.0% |
When Arkansas State has the ball
| Category | Arkansas StateOffense | TroyDefense | 1A avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pace | |||
| Plays per game | 51.4#123 | 54.8#83 | 57.7 |
| Style | |||
| Pass rate | 51.0%#61 | 53.4%#40 | 49.1% |
| Standard downs | 43.2%#68 | 47.9%#25 | 42.3% |
| Passing downs | 70.3%#43 | 64.0%#83 | 64.9% |
| Efficiency | |||
| Success rate | 47.1%#45 | 38.8%#52 | 44.7% |
| Explosive play rate | 14.8%#87 | 14.6%#90 | 15.7% |
| Yards per play | 6.07#81 | 5.42#58 | 6.25 |
| Third down | 44.2%#57 | 31.9%#25 | 42.3% |
| Stuff rate | 15.1%#63 | 24.5%#14 | 16.4% |
| Scoring | |||
| Finish | 2.88#117 | 3.17#55 | 3.60 |
| Disruption | |||
| Turnover rate | 1.2%#49 | 1.4%#86 | 1.6% |
| Havoc rate | 3.5%#57 | 4.1%#89 | 4.0% |
Stats through week 9. The # is a rank, 1 best, not a percentile. Teams without a number are left out. Rates need 25 plays. Standard downs are first down, second and 7 or fewer, and third or fourth and 4 or fewer.