2026 · week 12.
Arkansas State at Louisiana Tech
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · Joe Aillet Stadium · Picks use the ratings from Oct 31.
Louisiana Tech 71%
When Arkansas State has the ball
| Category | Arkansas StateOffense | Louisiana TechDefense | 1A avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pace | |||
| Plays per game | 51.4#123 | 58.5#54 | 57.7 |
| Style | |||
| Pass rate | 51.0%#61 | 42.7%#122 | 49.1% |
| Standard downs | 43.2%#68 | 33.8%#130 | 42.3% |
| Passing downs | 70.3%#43 | 59.0%#113 | 64.9% |
| Efficiency | |||
| Success rate | 47.1%#45 | 36.8%#34 | 44.7% |
| Explosive play rate | 14.8%#87 | 13.7%#71 | 15.7% |
| Yards per play | 6.07#81 | 5.59#68 | 6.25 |
| Third down | 44.2%#57 | 40.0%#89 | 42.3% |
| Stuff rate | 15.1%#63 | 23.9%#16 | 16.4% |
| Scoring | |||
| Finish | 2.88#117 | 3.50#89 | 3.60 |
| Disruption | |||
| Turnover rate | 1.2%#49 | 3.0%#11 | 1.6% |
| Havoc rate | 3.5%#57 | 6.8%#11 | 4.0% |
When Louisiana Tech has the ball
| Category | Louisiana TechOffense | Arkansas StateDefense | 1A avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pace | |||
| Plays per game | 49.5#130 | 57.6#62 | 57.7 |
| Style | |||
| Pass rate | 47.5%#93 | 41.7%#132 | 49.1% |
| Standard downs | 40.0%#95 | 36.0%#121 | 42.3% |
| Passing downs | 63.5%#79 | 58.1%#118 | 64.9% |
| Efficiency | |||
| Success rate | 38.4%#124 | 49.0%#132 | 44.7% |
| Explosive play rate | 17.7%#31 | 18.8%#134 | 15.7% |
| Yards per play | 6.30#67 | 6.91#127 | 6.25 |
| Third down | 42.5%#69 | 50.9%#132 | 42.3% |
| Stuff rate | 20.2%#111 | 11.3%#132 | 16.4% |
| Scoring | |||
| Finish | 3.52#77 | 4.09#123 | 3.60 |
| Disruption | |||
| Turnover rate | 1.5%#73 | 2.8%#19 | 1.6% |
| Havoc rate | 4.0%#75 | 3.8%#95 | 4.0% |
Stats through week 9. The # is a rank, 1 best, not a percentile. Teams without a number are left out. Rates need 25 plays. Standard downs are first down, second and 7 or fewer, and third or fourth and 4 or fewer.