2026 · week 12.
Bowling Green at Toledo
Friday, November 20, 2026 · Glass Bowl · Picks use the ratings from Oct 31.
Toledo 79%
When Bowling Green has the ball
| Category | Bowling GreenOffense | ToledoDefense | 1A avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pace | |||
| Plays per game | 53.2#110 | 63.0#23 | 57.7 |
| Style | |||
| Pass rate | 50.8%#66 | 49.7%#75 | 49.1% |
| Standard downs | 42.3%#76 | 40.1%#95 | 42.3% |
| Passing downs | 69.0%#52 | 71.1%#38 | 64.9% |
| Efficiency | |||
| Success rate | 38.3%#125 | 34.9%#19 | 44.7% |
| Explosive play rate | 10.9%#133 | 11.1%#26 | 15.7% |
| Yards per play | 4.76#135 | 5.12#39 | 6.25 |
| Third down | 36.8%#104 | 38.2%#74 | 42.3% |
| Stuff rate | 25.2%#135 | 20.3%#44 | 16.4% |
| Scoring | |||
| Finish | 1.50#138 | 3.33#74 | 3.60 |
| Disruption | |||
| Turnover rate | 1.9%#94 | 1.6%#70 | 1.6% |
| Havoc rate | 3.4%#55 | 4.1%#88 | 4.0% |
When Toledo has the ball
| Category | ToledoOffense | Bowling GreenDefense | 1A avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pace | |||
| Plays per game | 63.0#25 | 51.0#108 | 57.7 |
| Style | |||
| Pass rate | 50.8%#64 | 42.4%#126 | 49.1% |
| Standard downs | 45.7%#47 | 37.6%#112 | 42.3% |
| Passing downs | 63.0%#84 | 55.1%#127 | 64.9% |
| Efficiency | |||
| Success rate | 45.4%#59 | 46.7%#122 | 44.7% |
| Explosive play rate | 17.5%#37 | 16.5%#114 | 15.7% |
| Yards per play | 7.12#22 | 7.08#130 | 6.25 |
| Third down | 48.4%#27 | 30.0%#16 | 42.3% |
| Stuff rate | 14.2%#48 | 15.0%#108 | 16.4% |
| Scoring | |||
| Finish | 3.79#58 | 3.50#87 | 3.60 |
| Disruption | |||
| Turnover rate | 0.6%#13 | 1.2%#103 | 1.6% |
| Havoc rate | 1.3%#3 | 6.3%#22 | 4.0% |
Stats through week 9. The # is a rank, 1 best, not a percentile. Teams without a number are left out. Rates need 25 plays. Standard downs are first down, second and 7 or fewer, and third or fourth and 4 or fewer.