2026 · week 12.
Oregon at Michigan State
Friday, November 20, 2026 · Spartan Stadium · Picks use the ratings from Oct 31.
Oregon 74%
When Oregon has the ball
| Category | OregonOffense | Michigan StateDefense | 1A avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pace | |||
| Plays per game | 64.5#21 | 49.0#115 | 57.7 |
| Style | |||
| Pass rate | 55.8%#22 | 45.7%#109 | 49.1% |
| Standard downs | 46.4%#45 | 38.5%#107 | 42.3% |
| Passing downs | 78.7%#7 | 59.5%#111 | 64.9% |
| Efficiency | |||
| Success rate | 46.5%#50 | 40.4%#70 | 44.7% |
| Explosive play rate | 18.2%#24 | 14.3%#83 | 15.7% |
| Yards per play | 7.23#17 | 5.67#71 | 6.25 |
| Third down | 44.7%#51 | 44.0%#112 | 42.3% |
| Stuff rate | 13.2%#36 | 22.6%#24 | 16.4% |
| Scoring | |||
| Finish | 4.70#6 | 4.24#127 | 3.60 |
| Disruption | |||
| Turnover rate | 0.8%#28 | 0.8%#121 | 1.6% |
| Havoc rate | 3.5%#56 | 3.3%#108 | 4.0% |
When Michigan State has the ball
| Category | Michigan StateOffense | OregonDefense | 1A avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pace | |||
| Plays per game | 54.0#101 | 64.0#14 | 57.7 |
| Style | |||
| Pass rate | 47.8%#90 | 55.1%#30 | 49.1% |
| Standard downs | 37.6%#109 | 44.3%#49 | 42.3% |
| Passing downs | 75.3%#18 | 78.8%#7 | 64.9% |
| Efficiency | |||
| Success rate | 41.9%#96 | 39.1%#55 | 44.7% |
| Explosive play rate | 9.6%#137 | 12.5%#46 | 15.7% |
| Yards per play | 4.46#138 | 5.78#84 | 6.25 |
| Third down | 39.3%#87 | 23.5%#2 | 42.3% |
| Stuff rate | 17.7%#87 | 17.4%#80 | 16.4% |
| Scoring | |||
| Finish | 3.00#112 | 3.41#82 | 3.60 |
| Disruption | |||
| Turnover rate | 0.7%#25 | 2.7%#20 | 1.6% |
| Havoc rate | 5.2%#109 | 5.1%#54 | 4.0% |
Stats through week 9. The # is a rank, 1 best, not a percentile. Teams without a number are left out. Rates need 25 plays. Standard downs are first down, second and 7 or fewer, and third or fourth and 4 or fewer.