2026 · week 11.
Auburn at Mississippi State
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · Davis Wade Stadium · Picks use the ratings from Oct 31.
Mississippi State 52%
When Auburn has the ball
| Category | AuburnOffense | Mississippi StateDefense | 1A avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pace | |||
| Plays per game | 63.6#22 | 58.4#56 | 57.7 |
| Style | |||
| Pass rate | 52.5%#46 | 59.6%#9 | 49.1% |
| Standard downs | 48.1%#27 | 53.5%#8 | 42.3% |
| Passing downs | 61.1%#96 | 75.9%#15 | 64.9% |
| Efficiency | |||
| Success rate | 42.1%#91 | 41.4%#77 | 44.7% |
| Explosive play rate | 14.8%#88 | 13.0%#58 | 15.7% |
| Yards per play | 5.72#102 | 5.42#56 | 6.25 |
| Third down | 47.1%#32 | 37.7%#67 | 42.3% |
| Stuff rate | 15.9%#70 | 13.6%#117 | 16.4% |
| Scoring | |||
| Finish | 3.54#75 | 3.32#72 | 3.60 |
| Disruption | |||
| Turnover rate | 2.8%#130 | 1.0%#108 | 1.6% |
| Havoc rate | 7.5%#134 | 5.1%#50 | 4.0% |
When Mississippi State has the ball
| Category | Mississippi StateOffense | AuburnDefense | 1A avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pace | |||
| Plays per game | 61.2#37 | 70.0#1 | 57.7 |
| Style | |||
| Pass rate | 54.6%#29 | 48.1%#87 | 49.1% |
| Standard downs | 52.4%#7 | 37.3%#114 | 42.3% |
| Passing downs | 59.6%#104 | 75.0%#16 | 64.9% |
| Efficiency | |||
| Success rate | 49.0%#29 | 40.0%#65 | 44.7% |
| Explosive play rate | 18.6%#20 | 10.0%#18 | 15.7% |
| Yards per play | 7.12#21 | 5.00#28 | 6.25 |
| Third down | 49.1%#24 | 34.2%#38 | 42.3% |
| Stuff rate | 18.7%#99 | 16.6%#91 | 16.4% |
| Scoring | |||
| Finish | 4.11#37 | 2.89#35 | 3.60 |
| Disruption | |||
| Turnover rate | 1.6%#79 | 2.3%#32 | 1.6% |
| Havoc rate | 5.2%#111 | 5.7%#31 | 4.0% |
Stats through week 9. The # is a rank, 1 best, not a percentile. Teams without a number are left out. Rates need 25 plays. Standard downs are first down, second and 7 or fewer, and third or fourth and 4 or fewer.