2026 · week 13.
Mississippi State at Ole Miss
Friday, November 27, 2026 · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium · Picks use the ratings from Oct 31.
Ole Miss 78%
When Mississippi State has the ball
| Category | Mississippi StateOffense | Ole MissDefense | 1A avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pace | |||
| Plays per game | 61.2#37 | 60.5#35 | 57.7 |
| Style | |||
| Pass rate | 54.6%#29 | 42.6%#125 | 49.1% |
| Standard downs | 52.4%#7 | 35.1%#126 | 42.3% |
| Passing downs | 59.6%#104 | 60.6%#105 | 64.9% |
| Efficiency | |||
| Success rate | 49.0%#29 | 47.1%#124 | 44.7% |
| Explosive play rate | 18.6%#20 | 14.9%#96 | 15.7% |
| Yards per play | 7.12#21 | 6.27#108 | 6.25 |
| Third down | 49.1%#24 | 47.1%#122 | 42.3% |
| Stuff rate | 18.7%#99 | 21.6%#34 | 16.4% |
| Scoring | |||
| Finish | 4.11#37 | 3.41#81 | 3.60 |
| Disruption | |||
| Turnover rate | 1.6%#79 | 0.8%#120 | 1.6% |
| Havoc rate | 5.2%#111 | 2.9%#118 | 4.0% |
When Ole Miss has the ball
| Category | Ole MissOffense | Mississippi StateDefense | 1A avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pace | |||
| Plays per game | 59.8#50 | 58.4#56 | 57.7 |
| Style | |||
| Pass rate | 57.3%#10 | 59.6%#9 | 49.1% |
| Standard downs | 53.1%#6 | 53.5%#8 | 42.3% |
| Passing downs | 68.8%#54 | 75.9%#15 | 64.9% |
| Efficiency | |||
| Success rate | 51.5%#14 | 41.4%#77 | 44.7% |
| Explosive play rate | 15.5%#74 | 13.0%#58 | 15.7% |
| Yards per play | 6.60#56 | 5.42#56 | 6.25 |
| Third down | 45.5%#43 | 37.7%#67 | 42.3% |
| Stuff rate | 14.7%#61 | 13.6%#117 | 16.4% |
| Scoring | |||
| Finish | 4.04#41 | 3.32#72 | 3.60 |
| Disruption | |||
| Turnover rate | 1.3%#53 | 1.0%#108 | 1.6% |
| Havoc rate | 2.5%#28 | 5.1%#50 | 4.0% |
Stats through week 9. The # is a rank, 1 best, not a percentile. Teams without a number are left out. Rates need 25 plays. Standard downs are first down, second and 7 or fewer, and third or fourth and 4 or fewer.